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In The Pits: Hamlin must avoid Buschlike collapse (AP)

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CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP)—Kyle Busch bolted out of the gate in 2008, racking up eight quick wins while moving to the top of the Sprint Cup Series standings.

But when the title was on the line, he crumbled.

Busch stumbled in the Chase for the Sprint Cup championship opener. He declared his title hopes over after the second of 10 races, and he finished 10th in the final standings.

Two years later, teammate Denny Hamlin needs to make sure that doesn’t happen to him. It’s Hamlin that Joe Gibbs Racing now has hitting on all cylinders, and Sunday’s win at Michigan International Speedway was his career best and series-leading fifth of the season.

If the Chase began today, Hamlin would be the top seed with a 20-point advantage over four-time defending series champion nascar/sprint/drivers/213/”>Jimmie Johnson.

That, however, assures little. Busch learned that firsthand in what had been shaping up as a dream first season with JGR. He won 21 races spanning NASCAR’s top three series that year. He was so unstoppable it seemed he could win anywhere. That included Infineon Raceway, a road course that had vexed Busch every year and the first two days of his visit there in 2008.

But his No. 18 crew threw everything at the Toyota that weekend, and Busch broke through for his first victory on a road course.

It’s similar to what Hamlin and his No. 11 team experienced at Michigan last weekend when their car was junk through two days of practice. Crew chief Mike Ford made significant changes heading into race day, and the result was a rocket ship that built leads of nearly 10 seconds.

“We made probably more changes than we have all year,” Ford said. “Friday we were what I consider horrible. We weren’t a top-15 team. We made some big adjustments going into Saturday. Really didn’t think we had a shot to win.”

In winning, Hamlin proved he’s a legitimate title contender. He’s just got to avoid the same pitfalls that sabotaged Busch. And, so far, Hamlin seems on the right track.

For starters, JGR seems much improved. Busch and Hamlin have a combined seven victories through 15 Cup races this season and are second and third in the standings. Busch trails series leader Kevin Harvick by 22 points while Hamlin is 47 back.

Meanwhile, third JGR driver Joey Logano is showing steady improvement in his second season in the series. With four consecutive finishes of 13th or better, he’s 17th in the standings.

That companywide consistency can make JGR only stronger in the long run and when the stakes are highest—something the organization struggled with in 2008.

When Busch lost the championship, he had a mechanical problem in the Chase opener and a motor failure the next week. Last season, when Hamlin was making a run at the title, he had two engine failures in the Chase.

JGR knows how to win championships—the team did it in 2000 with Bobby Labonte and in 2002 and 2005 with Tony Stewart. The trick is figuring out how to do it with more than one contending driver without sacrificing anything in equipment reliability.

That’s where Ford comes in.

He is as even-tempered as they come in the garage, and he does a tremendous job of keeping his crew focused. Few outside distractions are allowed inside the No. 11 hauler, which sometimes seems as if it’s operating as a single-car team.

After an accident that left Hamlin and Stewart with wounded race cars during Daytona Speedweeks two years ago, it seemed as if most of the additional JGR personnel on hand attended to the repairs on Stewart’s No. 20 car. Half a garage away, the No. 11 team worked alone, almost preferring to take an us-against-the world attitude.

So long as Ford can keep his guys functioning with that same mindset, the No. 11 team should be able to ride the ups and downs that go with a title race.

The last part of the puzzle is Hamlin, and how he handles the intensity of racing for a championship.

A year ago, he admittedly panicked when he saw Johnson in his rearview mirror while Hamlin was leading at California. That brief lapse caused Hamlin to crash, finish 37th and essentially end his title chances.

It was a critical learning experience that he’s not forgotten. But if he keeps up this pace, Hamlin is also going to have to learn to deal with being the hunted—something he’s yet to go through. He’ll need focus, improved communication, maturity and a swagger he’s yet to display at NASCAR’s top level.

So far, he seems up to the challenge.

“I feel like each week that we show up, we just set our bar a little bit higher than it was the week before,” Hamlin said. “The way we’re performing now goes back six months, a year from now. We’ve worked very, very hard to get to this spot right now.”

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Tennis Betting – Dudi Sela Aims to Extend Run at AEGON Championships

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London, England – On a rain-soaked third round at the AEGON Championships Dudi Sela and Xavier Malisse recorded wins for the lightweights in the game when each beat a top player to book their spot in the quarterfinals.

Sela was the first to take centre court on Thursday when he came up against Andy Roddick, and with some surprising hard-hitting and acrobatics, the little guy topped Roddick in straight sets 6-4, 7-6(8).

Sela and Malisse join Nadal, Lopez, Schuettler, Querrey and Llodra in the quarters. Andy Murray and Mardy Fish are yet to determine the last spot in the final eight as their match was suspended due to darkness.

Here is a look at Sela in his upcoming quarterfinal matches against Rainer Schuettler and Sam Querrey respectively.,

Tennis Betting Line:
Rainer Schuettler +3 -115 +160 23 O -115 U -125
Dudi Sela -3 -125 -210 23 O -115 U -125

First Set Line: Rainer Schuettler +135 Dudi Sela -175
Match Time: 12:30 PM Eastern Time (17:30 Local Time) Friday June 11, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Israeli Dudi Sela has a real shot of reaching the AEGON Championships semis because standing in his way of a spot in the final four is Rainer Schuettler (34), a player he virtually owns. Sela owns the series between the pair 3-0. It is not often Sela can claim such a mark against a fellow tennis player.

Sela is by all intents and purposes a middleweight in the game who has enjoyed a modest career to date but nothing to write home about. To get a better idea: at 25 years of age, he is 54/66 lifetime on the ATP circuit and without a title. On the 2010 season, he is 8-12.

So you can safely assume this is a one-off run in London and beating Roddick perhaps his biggest career win to date. Can he make it count by taking out Schuettler.
Head-to-head Sela has the edge; indeed, with two wins on hard courts and one on grass – the latter coming at the 2009 Wimbledon Championships – Sela is the favourite.
In this mark there is confidence and bookies are taking heed of this score listing Sela as the favourite at -210 to win outright.

Schuettler was once a semi-finalist at Wimbledon (2008). Since that Cinderella run he has been on a downward slide, which isn’t surprising for those in the know because the German is a ripe 34-years-old and Wimby 2008 a rare account by him. Still, he is a wild card bet at +160.

His price is low enough to suggest that he could upset Sela and what timing it would be for him to do it; thwart Sela en route to perhaps his biggest semi-final appearance reeks of irony. I happen to think this old dog just might do it.

Tennis Free Picks: Schuettler in three sets

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AEGON Championships Betting Malisse dumps Djokovic, Sam Querrey up next

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London, England – Belgian Xavier Malisse recorded one of several upsets on a rain-soaked Thursday in London at the AEGON Championships when he dumped second seed Novak Djokovic in the third round.

Malisse took to court against Novak Djokovic to mark their first-ever career clash and surprised the Serb by taking the first set. Djokovic countered in the second but when push came to shove in the decider, Malisse proved to be too much wrapping up proceedings 6-3, 4-6, 6-2.

Malisse is set to take on American Sam Querrey in the quarterfinals on Friday, a spot in the semis on the line. Will he make his huge win count or will he crumble under the pressure?

Tennis Betting Line:

Sam Querrey -2½ -110 -200 23½ O -125 U -115

Xavier Malisse +2½ -130 +150 23½ O -125 U -115

First Set Line: Sam Querrey -175 Xavier Malisse +135

Match Time: 11:00 AM Eastern Time (16:00 Local Time) Friday June 11, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: It will be another first for Malisse when he comes up against Sam Querrey. The pair has never met at an ATP level event but if Malisse can replicate his account of yesterday against Querrey it will be quite the feat deserving of plaudits.

Of course, the bookies favour Querrey in this match. The American is listed at -200 to win outright and recommending his odds is a top 30 ranking (once ranked in the top 20) and a positive mark on the season. Querrey was 20-13 on the season ahead of London.

Malisse, by contrast, came into London on an underwhelming season with a 5-10 mark and a lowly No.74 ranking. Yet he made both scores redundant in London hasn’t he.

In many respects, this match is a tossup. Smart money dictates Querrey is the better play but Xavier Malisse at +150 is a tempting bet. Bettors could do worse than back the Belgian that dumped Djokovic, bearing in mind it is still a rather long shot bet in market terms.

All things considered this should be a hard fought match, going the distance. The totals are set at 23 ½ and the Overs is the favoured outcome, trading at -125.

Tennis Free Picks: Malisse in three sets

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