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Favre, Vikes Look to Settle Score With Saints

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It doesn’t get much better than tonight’s NFL game between Minnesota and New Orleans. A rematch of last year’s NFC Championship Game, the two teams are among the best the NFL has to offer.

Bettors believe New Orleans is a notch above the Vikings, as the Saints are favored between five and six points depending on which sportsbook you are using. The total on the game is 49.

A pair of college games round out tonight’s football schedule, with Auburn and Mississippi State and Central Michigan at Temple.

Auburn is attracting more than 70 percent of the bets, but the line has held steady or dropped, as the Tigers are 1.5- to 2.5-point favorites.

Today’s play is up and is at Free Sports Betting Picks located in the Sports Gambling 101 section of the site.

Photo: Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints will look to outscore Minnesota tonight. (Photo by Bob Levy/Getty Images)

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Point Spreads

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Jun 18 2010

Sports Betting – Understanding Point Spreads

When it comes to betting on football and basketball, a bettor must have a solid understanding of the point spread if they hope to have a profitable season.

The point spread is a handicap placed on one team, for betting purposes only, and it is designed to give both teams in any game an equal chance at winning in the eyes of sports bettors.

How the Point Spread Works

When two teams meet on the playing field or on the basketball court, one team is typically better than the other. If all sports gamblers had to do was to pick the winning team in a game, everybody would simply wager on the best team and collect their money.

Using an example from Week 2 of the 2007 NFL season, the Atlanta Falcons were visiting the Jacksonville Jaguars. There was little doubt Jacksonville was the better of the two teams and if all one had to do was to pick the winning team, nearly every bettor would have taken the Jaguars.

What the sportsbooks and bookies did, however, was to create a point spread, to make both teams equally attractive in the eyes of bettors.

In this case, Jacksonville was installed as a 10 point favorite, which is commonly written as Jacksonville -10. Atlanta, the underdog, is commonly written as Atlanta +10.

If you bet the favorite, Jacksonville, the Jaguars have to win by 11 points or more in order for you to win your bet. Remember, the Jaguars are favored by 10 points, so we subtract 10 points from their final score for betting purposes. If Jacksonville were to win 24-13, Jaguar bettors would win their wager. If the Jaguars were to win 23-14, Jacksonville bettors would lose because they did not win by more than 10 points.

If you bet the underdog, the Atlanta Falcons, you win your bet if the Falcons win the game or if they lose by 9 points or less. Because the Falcons are the underdogs, we add 10 points to their final score for betting purposes.

If the Jaguars were to win the game by exactly 10 points, 24-14, it would be a tie or a push and all wagers are refunded to bettors.

Jacksonville did defeat Atlanta as expected, but the Jaguars failed to cover the point spread when they won by a score of 13-7.

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Parlay Cards

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Parlay Cards

Parlay cards are essentially the lottery version of sports betting, in which bettors try to make a lot of money for a minimal investment. While most sportsbooks offer parlay cards, they are extremely popular among illegal bookmakers. The basic difference between a parlay card offered by a sportsbook and an illegal bookmaker are generally in the payouts, with the sportsbook typically being more generous that the illegal bookmaker, although both are much lower than the true odds.

For example, the true odds on a three-team parlay are 7-to-1. A parlay card filled out at a sportsbook will typically pay 6-to-1, while the illegal bookmaker will offer a 5-to-1 payout. (A complete list of standard payouts and true odds can be found at the end of the article.)

Ties Lose

Many sportsbook parlay cards will simply reduce the number of teams you have selected on your parlay card if one of the teams ties against the point spread. For example, if you have a six-team parlay at a sportsbook and one team ties, you will then have a five-team parlay and will receive a payout based on a five-team parlay should your other games win.

Illegal bookmakers aren’t as forgiving on ties, however, and a tie counts the same as a loss. To make matters worse, illegal bookmakers will typically adjust the odds a bit hoping for ties.

For this reason you will see the majority of point spreads on the key numbers, such as 3,4,6,7,10,13,14,17 and 21. If the Las Vegas line has a team favored by 16 points, the illegal bookmaker will use 17 as the point spread, as more games are decided by 17 points than they are by 16 points.

For vs. To

Another trick some illegal bookmakers use is to offer payouts such as 10-for-1 as opposed to 10-to-1. A $10 parlay winner at 10-for-1 odds would return $100, while at 10-to-1 the return would be $110.

So it pays to read the fine print on a parlay card, as those offering payouts using “for” instead of “to” are putting you at even more of a disadvantage.

Summary

The poor payouts compared to the true odds are the primary reason why parlay cards should be avoided. On a straight bet, the house advantage is 4.55 percent. On a parlay card the house advantage starts at 14.2 percent and can reach as high as 80 percent if you select 10 teams.

Parlay cards can be a fun, inexpensive way to enjoy a little action of the weekend’s games, but they are a poor wagering proposition.

Parlay Card Odds

Illegal Bookmaker Payouts
3 Teams 5-to-1
4 Teams 10-to-1
5 Teams 15-to-1
6 Teams 25-to-1
7 Teams 50-to-1
8 Teams 100-to-1
9 Teams 150-to-1
10 Teams 200-to-1
9-of-10 Teams 20-to-1

Sportsbook Payouts
3 Teams 6-to-1
4 Teams 10-to-1
5 Teams 20-to-1
6 Teams 40-to-1
7 Teams 75-to-1
8 Teams 100-to-1
9 Teams 150-to-1
10 Teams 300-to-1
9-of-10 Teams 25-to-1

True Odds
3 Teams 7-to-1
4 Teams 15-to-1
5 Teams 31-to-1
6 Teams 63-to-1
7 Teams 127-to-1
8 Teams 255-to-1
9 Teams 511-to-1
10 Teams 1,023-to-1

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